Betting Results:
Head to Head: Kings, odds 1.338
Line: Warriors (+7.5), odds 1.904
Total Points: Over (233), odds 1.918

Pre-game Prediction
Warriors, 26.5%
Kings, 73.5%

Poor day at the office for the team, they got 1/4 tips in on this game, with some rather amusing results to boot. The small bet on GSW was always a value bet, and indeed the Warriors spent the vast majority of the game in the lead, however the tip that GSW wouldn't have enough firepower, so take the Under (229.5) was blown completely out of the water by a 240 game total. But that was nothing compared to our tip that Sabonis would have Under 5.5 Rebounds...he got 18 (eighteen). So we were pretty close!

DeMar DeRozan scores 32 points in the Kings’ 123-117 comeback victory over the Warriors

By ANTONIO RAY HARVEY AP Basketball Writer The Associated Press SACRAMENTO CALIF.

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — DeMar DeRozan scored 32 points, Domantas Sabonis had 26 points and 18 rebounds and the Sacramento Kings overcame an 18-point deficit to beat the Golden State Warriors 123-117 on Wednesday night.

Malik Monk added 20 points and nine assists and DeAaron Fox had 14 points for Sacramento, which made 30 of 32 free throws. The Kings have won three in a row overall, seven straight at home and are 10-2 under interim coach Doug Christie.

Andrew Wiggins had 25 points and Buddy Hield added 17 points for the Warriors. Steph Curry finished with 14 points and 12 assists.

DeRozan scored 19 points in the third quarter, hitting two free throws to tie it at 85. Behind 113-111, the Kings went on an 8-0 run, completed by a layup by Fox with 1:07 remaining.

The Warriors were without Draymond Green (left calf strain) and Jonathan Kuminga (right ankle sprain). Green will be re-evaluated next week.

Takeaways

Warriors: Made 14 of 26 shots from 3-point range in the first half.

Kings: Outscored the Warriors 37-20 in the third quarter to tie it at 85.

Key moment

Trailing by seven points, the Kings charged back to take a 100-99 lead on a 3-pointer by Keon Ellis at 7:45 mark of the fourth quarter.

Key stat

The Kings had a 28-0 edge in fast-break points.

This is how we previewed this game....

The bookmakers have the Kings listed as 6.5 point favourites (odds: 1.33) for this match up, and taking a tour through each teams stats, its easy to see why.

The Warriors lost last time out to Boston, a game we did rather well tipping, and are now running at a 50% record for the season, which will be a huge disappointment to the team and the owners.

GSW lie 11th in the Western Conference, with a 21-21 record. They are totally balanced. 11-11 at home, 10-10 on the road, 5-5 in their L10. The Warriors are on a L1 streak (that home court loss against the Celtics), and their last 5 games sees them 2-3. A rubbish season so far basically.

The Kings started off very poorly, but are 9-1 in their L10. The fact that this stunning record sees them 8th on 22-20 for the season, shows how crao they were before this injection of form. 12-12 at home, 10-8 away, on a W2 streak, Sacramento are 4-1 from their last 5, their only loss coming in Milwaukee.

The Kings are the form team in the NBA, their 9-1 L10 record is better than OKC and CLE (both 8-2) along with DEN and IND also 8-2.

The teams have met three times this season so far, GSW won both encounters in Oct, but were hammered at home 129-99 by the King in early January.

Before we jump to our tipping conclusions, lets see what the tipping sites think of the game and the best bets.

(Our Player Prop Bet Tips are further down this page)

Dimers - SAC to win 118-111, moneyline tip on the Kings, slight lean towards Under 229.5
Clutch Points - Kings -7
Pickswise -Kings -7
Sportskeeda - Kings moneyline, Curry Under points
Betting Odds - predicting a 117-110 win for SAC, tipping GSW +6.5, and Over 228.5
Sportsline - forcasting a 115-110 Kings win, so less one sides than Dimers and Bettingodds, moderate leans to Warriors moneyline (value bet) and Under 229.5

We are going to stick with our Under bet on a Warriors game for the second time this season, but we are also going to have a value bet on GSW. We see the Warriors have a 40%-42% chance of winning this game, but the odds available implies a probability of just 30%, so we are priced in (again).

We expect to lose this value bet, hence we are only recommending a small bet, but as we've seen so far, by carefully selecting value bets, we can turn these tips into healthy betting profits.

The small bet on GSW was always a value bet, and indeed the Warriors spent the vast majority of the game in the lead, however the tip that GSW wouldn't have enough firepower, so take the Under (229.5) was blown completely out of the water by a 240 game total.