Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets Free Betting Tips
Clearly this is a match up between two teams with vastly different aspirations for the rest of the season. The Cavaliers, who are on their third W10+ steak of the season by the way, are focused on the Championship, aiming to repeat their success of 2016. The Hornets are tanking with the Wizards and the Jazz in the hope of "earning" the #1 draft pick.
Cleveland travel to Charlotte with a 52-10-84 record (NBA best), a 23-6 road record (also NBA best), a 10-0 L10 (also NBA best) and a W12 streak (guess what...also NBA best). The Cavaliers at #1 seeds in the East, should be the short priced favourites for the Championship, but still the sportsbooks are too scared of OKC and Boston. OKC and Boston are best priced at 3.25, whereas the provably best team the the game are still available at 8.00 with some sportsbooks. Take a look at our NBA Championships Futures article for more. We're heavily invested in Cleveland for the Championships. But we digress.
Charlotte, lol, on the other hand...scrolls down to the foot of the table...14-47-23%, 9-23 at home, 1-9 L10 (NBA joint worse), and an L8 streak (NBA worse). There should be no hope for Charlotte and priced at a massive 9.50, the bookmakers certainly think so.
235! Game total beat us by one! An unexpectedly tight game in Charlotte where the Cavs were taken to the wire after being behind for most of the fourth quarter, with only a very late rally seeing them continue their Winning streak (W13 now). Had we placed our bet later, the Over/Under line had moved to 236 and we'd be celebrating a four-from-four win. But as it was, we were profitable...just! $35 staked and $37.60 returned. Both player prop bets won fairly easily. But gah! 235!
Under (234.5) at odds of 1.90
We expect Cleveland to win easily, so a start to finish points war is unlikely, we'd model this as a over 75% probability of an Under, but the odds are priced at just over 50%, so we are priced in.
Returns $19.00 for a $10 bet
LaMelo Ball (CHA) Under 36.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds at odds of 1.86
Six unders in his last 10 games is not a disastrous performance for Ball, but none of the four overs came against a team anywhere near the calibre of Cleveland. Is too big a target in this game.
Donovan Mitchell (CLE) Under 32.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds at odds of 1.90
Eight from 10 overs, averaging 36 per game, and some of those overs, big overs came against big teams including Memphis and Boston. However, 32.5 is still a big ask and his average is dragged up by some sharp shooting in two games, its tight, but the Under is slightly more favored in our model.
Same Game Parlay at odds of 6.715
We've also added a nifty little half point ($5.00) bet on the same game parlay for those three tips.
