New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies - Free NBA Betting Tips
Looking at the game, the teams, the form, the rest, the injuries, we think New Orleans would win this match up 22%-25% of the time. Memphis are clear and rightful favourites, but NOP have a chance. The implied probability from the odds on offer is 17.4%, so we have an edge, a small edge, but an edge. We are going to have a small value bet on NOP. We'll have a moderate bet on the Under game total - especially because right now we can get 245.5, and many tipping sites are tipping the Under on lower totals. Another edge.
A tale of two halves - our first two tips (Pelicans Moneyline and Under 245.5) both lost. Our Player prop tips (Murray Under Assists, Bane Over Points) both won. A small loss on the game, but the value bet strategy is still paying off.
A note on our Under bet tip. At the time the main tipping sites were generally recommending a bet at a line of 244.5 or 243.5. We could get 245.5, and recommended that you took it. By the time the game started, the line with all sportsbooks was either 242.5 or 243.5 - so we "gained" a two point cushion over the expectation of the sportsbooks. Didn't matter as we were all wrong and the game sailed past the line, but the principle is very solid.
Take the value where it lies, in the long term that extra point or two here or there adds up.
Pelicans @ Grizzlies - Value Bet Tip
- Tip: New Orleans Pelicans to beat Memphis Grizzlies5.75
Pelicans @ Grizzlies - Over/Under Tip
- Tip: Memphis Grizzlies v New Orleans Pelicans - Under (245.5)1.88
New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies - Player Props Bet Tips
Dejounte Murray (NOP) : Under 7.5 Assists at odds of 1.94
Missed in 4/5 when not favoured
Returns $19.40 for a $10 bet
Desmond Bane (MEM): Over 18.5 Points at odds of 1.90
Overed in all 5 of his last games, all comfortably higher than the market here
