Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics NBA betting tips

We're going to focus on Player Prop bet tips for this one, but, we are also going to have a small bet on Chicago at odds of 7.50. That implies a probability of 13.3% win for Chicago, and our model put the realistic win rate at 20%-25%, which is quite some edge. Sure the Bulls will probably lose, but they'll lose 1 in 4 or 1 in 5, not 1 in 8, so we are priced in.

A quick peak at the stats backs up our bet. Bulls beat Denver last time out, Celtics lost at home to Houston. Celtics have a distinctly meh home record this season, 15-9, means they are losing 37.5% of home games. Bulls are 11-11 on the road.

A team with a 50% chance of a road win, playing a team with a 37.5% loss rate at home, at odds of 7.50, we'll take that all day long.

Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics - Player Props Bet Tips

Nikola Vucevic (CHI) : Under 34.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds at odds of 1.94
This a massive target for Vucevic, we'd put him around 28-29 for this total. obviously if he has a great game and the Bulls win, our moneyline bet covers any loss here.

Returns $19.40 for a $10 bet

Kyle Porzingis (BOS) : Under 27.5 Points + Rebounds at odds of 1.87
Only exceeded this total in 1 of the last 5 games

Returns $18.70 for a $10 bet

Josh Giddey (CHI) : Under 29.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds at odds of 1.87
Strangely high total for a player who averages 25.6 this season, but has dipped to just over 24 in January, Bulls being huge underdogs won't help JG. However, like our Vucevic pick, if Giddey has a stormer, the Bulls will probably win, and we'll land our 7.25 tip

Returns $18.70 for a $10 bet